Anchoring Effect and Momentum Strategy. An Empirical Attempt to Identify Factors Determining the Investment Decision of Sovereign Wealth Funds

Dariusz Urban

Abstract


This article addresses the issue of factors determining the investment decisions of Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs). Using the data from the London Stock Exchange the author employs regression to analyze whether and to what extent the investment made by SWFs in the current year is determined by the previous ownership level in the company as well as by previous stock returns. Empirical findings of this research do not support those hypotheses. The past capital engagement in the company has negative impact on future decision to increase the capital allocation in target companies. The study also suggests that sovereign wealth funds do not use momentum strategy in their investments. In conclusion, the author presents potential avenues of future research in this field.


Keywords


Sovereign Wealth Funds; investing; anchoring effect; momentum trading behavior

Full Text:

PDF (Język Polski)

References


Chhaochharia V., Leaven L., Sovereign Wealth Funds: Their Investments Strategies and Performance, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2008.

Ciarlone A., Micelli V., Are Sovereign Wealth Funds Contrarian Investors?, “Banca D’Italia Working Papers” 2014, No. 972.

D’Souza I., Srichanachaichok V., Wang G., Yao Y., The Enduring Effect of Time-Series Momentum on Stock Returns Over Nearly 100-years, “Social Science Research Network” 2016, abstract No. 2720600.

Dahlquist M., Robertsson G., Direct Foreign Ownership, Institutional Investors, and Firm Characteristics, “Journal of Financial Economics” 2001, No. 59.

Fisher K., Statman M., Cognitive Biases in Market Forecasts, “Journal of Portfolio Management” 2000, No. 27.

Heaney R., Li L., Valencia V., Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment Decisions: Temasek Holdings, “Australian Journal of Management” 2011, No. 36 (1).

Johan S., Knill A., Mauck N., Determinants of Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment in Private Equity vs Public Equity, “Journal of International Business Studies” 2013, No. 44 (2).

Kaminsky G., Lyons R., Schmukler S., Managers, Investors and Crises: Mutual Fund Strategies in Emerging Markets, “Journal of International Economics” 2004, No. 64.

Kaustia M., Alho E., Puttonen V., How Much Does Expertise Reduce Behavioral Biases? The Case of Anchoring Effects in Stock Return Estimates, “Financial Management” 2008, No. 37.

Kotter J., Lel U., Friends or Foes? Target Selection Decisions of Sovereign Wealth Funds and Their Consequences, “Journal of Financial Economics” 2011, No. 101.

Liao L.-C., Yeutien R., Chiu B., Anchoring Effect on Foreign Institutional Investors’ Momentum Trading Behavior: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Market, “North American Journal of Economics and Finance” 2013, No. 26.

Megginson W., You M., Han L., Determinants of Sovereign Wealth Fund Cross-Border Investments, “Financial Review” 2013, No. 48 (4).

Ng L., Wu F., The Trading Behavior of Institutions and Individuals in Chinese Equity Markets, “Journal of Banking and Finance” 2007, No. 31.

Opolski K., Potocki T., Zastosowanie finansów behawioralnych w procesie Wealth Management, „eFinanse” 2011, nr 7 (4).

Park S., The Moving Average Ratio and Momentum, “Financial Review” 2010, No. 45.

Pawłowska J., Efektywność strategii momentum w inwestowaniu na Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie, „Zeszyty Naukowe Uniwersytetu Szczecińskiego. Finanse, Rynki Finansowe, Ubezpieczenia” 2015, nr 74.

Szyszka A., Zjawisko kontynuacji stóp zwrotu na Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie, „Bank i Kredyt” 2006, nr 8.

Tversky A., Kahneman D., Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, “Science” 1974, No. 185.

Urban D., Płynność, rentowność, dywidenda czy wielkość? Dominujące kryterium inwestycyjne inwestora instytucjonalnego na przykładzie państwowego funduszu majątkowego, „Zeszyty Naukowe Uniwersytetu Szczecińskiego. Finanse, Rynki Finansowe, Ubezpieczenia” 2016 (artykuł w trakcie recenzji).

Wójtowicz T., Efekt momentum na GPW w Warszawie w latach 2003–2010, „Ekonomia Menedżerska” 2011, nr 9.

Zaremba A., Efekt wartości, wielkości i momentum a wycena aktywów na polskim rynku akcji, „Finanse” 2015, nr 1 (8).




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17951/h.2016.50.4.533
Date of publication: 2017-02-20 17:31:15
Date of submission: 2016-03-30 13:46:03


Statistics


Total abstract view - 951
Downloads (from 2020-06-17) - PDF (Język Polski) - 0

Indicators



Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2017 Dariusz Urban

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.